Buy Today's Profit, Not the Seller's Future Growth Story
Codie contrasts private equity's emphasis on current cash flow with venture capital's dependence on future transformation. A boring business can remain unchanged and still produce acceptable cash flow, so projected upside should receive little weight in the purchase price.
- Value small businesses primarily on current earnings
- Apply little weight to future projections
- Flat performance can still satisfy a cash-flow acquisition thesis
- Venture-style growth assumptions change the risk profile
“I believe in buying companies based on reality, it's not hopes and dreams.”
“Private equity buys businesses based on the money they make today, and they apply a very small idea to the money they think they could…”